Ordinary Least Squares

Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is a linear regression method. It minimizes root mean square errors.


Univariate

The regression line passes through two points:

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and

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These points, with the generic equation for a line, can prove that the slope of the regression line is equal to:

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The generic formula for the regression line is:

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Linear Model

The linear model can be expressed as:

model1.svg

If these assumptions can be made:

  1. Linearity
  2. Exogeneity

  3. Random sampling
  4. No perfect multicolinearity
  5. Homoskedasticity

Then OLS is the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) for these coefficients.

Using the computation above, the coefficients are estimated to produce:

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The variances for each coefficient are:

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Note also that the standard deviation of the population's parameter is unknown, so it's estimated like:

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If the homoskedasticity assumption does not hold, then the estimators for each coefficient are actually:

hetero1.svg

It follows that the variances for each coefficient are:

hetero2.svg

These variances can be estimated with the Eicker-White formula:

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