Ordinary Least Squares Univariate Proof
The model is constructed like:
This is estimated as:
This line must pass through the mean and the slope of the line must be the marginal change in Y given a unit change in X. In other words, the line must pass through two points:
Insert the first point into the estimation. This is quickly solved for α.
Insert the second point into the original form.
Now additionally insert the solution for a in terms of b.
Expand all terms to produce:
This can now be eliminated into:
Giving a solution for b:
This solution is trivially rewritten as:
Expand the formula for correlation as:
This can now be eliminated into:
Finally, b can be eloquently written as:
Giving a generic formula for the regression line: