Ordinary Least Squares Univariate Proof

The model is constructed like:

model1.svg

This is estimated as:

model2.svg

This line must pass through the mean and the slope of the line must be the marginal change in Y given a unit change in X. In other words, the line must pass through two points:

model3.svg

Insert the first point into the estimation. This is quickly solved for α.

alpha1.svg

alpha2.svg

Insert the second point into the original form.

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Now additionally insert the solution for a in terms of b.

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Expand all terms to produce:

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This can now be eliminated into:

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Giving a solution for b:

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This solution is trivially rewritten as:

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Expand the formula for correlation as:

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This can now be eliminated into:

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Finally, b can be eloquently written as:

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Giving a generic formula for the regression line:

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